Brief statistical analysis on the Permissions issued by the NSR Administration as of 31 July 2013

Recently, a variety of mass media publishes data on the number of vessels planning to work in the waters of the NSR during the navigation year 2013. Often comparisons are made with the statistics of 2011 and 2012's and some incorrect conclusions are drawn regarding the repeated growth of shipping in the current season. The main summary inaccuracy is that compares the number of transit passes in the past years and the total number of permits issued this year.

According to the Rules of navigation permissions must receive all vessels entering the NSR water area, including transiting, i.e. crossing both western and eastern boundaries of the NSR, as well as other vessels operating in the internal NSR waters in Kara, Laptev, East-Siberian or Chukchi seas.

On the basis of the data published on the official website of the NSR Administration concerning issued permissions, the NSR Information Office held a brief statistical analysis, in order to get summarizing data on areas of navigation in the NSR waters.

As of July 31, 2013

413 Applications received
296 Permits issued
54 Rejections
63 Applications are pending

Since the beginning of navigation is gradually increasing the number of vessels, which have already begun working on the waters of the NSR. On 27 June, at the track came the first two tankers, on 15 July - 16 ships, and on 31 July - already 43 ships. In the future, is expected to continue growth in the number of vessels.

Summary on the national composition of the fleet and the companies of the applicants:
Totally permissions received 224 ships under the Russian flag, and 72 vessels under 24 different foreign countries’ flags. Among the applicants there are 51 Russian and 32 foreign companies.

The most frequent reasons for rejections:

  • Lack of Civil liability for bunker oil pollution damage certificate (CLBC)
  • The validity of a Classification Certificate ends before the stated period for navigation on the NSR

Permit distribution by NSR areas:  
296 issued permissions can be divided into several categories according to the requested navigational areas:

Area of the NSR Number of Permissions
All water areas of the NSR / transit 55  (18%)
South-west of the Kara Sea 133 (45%)
SW and NE parts of the Kara Sea 18
Kara Sea and Laptev Sea 33
Kara Sea, Laptev Sea, East-Siberian Sea 8
Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea 26
East Siberian Sea and Chukchi Sea 20
Chukchi Sea 3

The data above clearly shows that the vast majority of vessels plan to work in the South-west part of the Kara Sea. This situation is not much different from previous years, just before these data were not available online, and all the attention was focused solely on the statistics of transit. 

The number of vessels granted permission for potential transit passage is 55 units and it is quite comparable to the statistics of the years 2011 and 2012. It should also be taken into account that the availability of the permission for a vessel for transit passage does not necessarily indicate that the passage will actually take place. Ship owners may obtain permits under a potential burden to be prepared to operate in the NSR water area.

As for the cargo base in the 2013 season, according to the information available to us, it is expected to reduce the number of gas condensate to be transported from the port of Vitino through the NSR. This is due to the recent opening of a new Novatek' export terminal in the port of Ust-Luga, where loaded vessels are usually routed via traditional southern seaways. As for the bulk cargo (iron ore) is also expected some decrease in comparison with the previous year. However, in 2013 navigation year it is possible that new types of cargo will take place.

It should be noted that the number of applications is constantly growing and up till completion of the navigation season, we will have more accurate data to assess the dynamics of the growth of navigation in the NSR water area.

In conclusion we can say that at this point is difficult to predict the total number of transit cargo in the current navigation. We can only say that most likely we will see some growth in the total number of vessels passed the NSR in transit that does not necessarily mean an increase in total cargo volume.

Further updates and more detailed information on NSR statistics will be available here www.arctic-lio.com/nsr_transits

When using this information, the reference to the source - NSR information Office www.arctic-lio.com is required. Thank you.

NSR IO: Northern Sea Route Information Office / E-mail: sergey@chnl.no / Phone: Murmansk, Russia +7-911-310-90-69 / Kirkenes, Norway: +47-954-67-093

Information quoted in this webpage has been obtained from a variety of sources. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure that details are correct, Center for High North Logistics cannot provide any guarantees thereof. Moreover, neither CHNL nor any of its offices and employees accept any responsibility or liability in negligence or otherwise, howsoever caused, as a result of a visitor to our web site’s relying on the information contained herein.